← CM Westcity Store Championship
Water AetherwingTier 2
at CM Westcity Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-1-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.6%
avg ELO -16.7 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1491
· median 1491
· range 1491–1491
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1227
Q3 1476
1584
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.2% | -25.3 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
